Value bet: Hwaseong to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHwaseong to win ✓40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Cheongju vs Hwaseong: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 23 May the K League 2 brings Cheongju against Hwaseong at Cheongju Stadion. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Cheongju are 13th, lower half, on 32 points after 30 matches; Hwaseong are 6th (upper half) with 48. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cheongju, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Jeonnam Dragons, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Hwaseong, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Busan I Park, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hwaseong, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Cheongju.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cheongju 1.2 xG, Hwaseong 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cheongju 33%, draw 27%, Hwaseong 40%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Hwaseong to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cheongju 1–1 Hwaseong. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cheongju33%fair 3.03 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.00
Hwaseong40%fair 2.49 · @2.75
2.54Expected goals
1.16Cheongju xG
1.38Hwaseong xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Cheongju 1.2 – 1.4 Hwaseong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hwaseong to win✓
40%
2.49
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Draw no bet
Hwaseong (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Cheongju +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Hwaseong to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hwaseong / FT Hwaseong✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.48
–
Recent results
Cheongju – last 6
DDDDDD
16 May
@ Jeonnam Dragons
2–2
D
9 May
vs Gimpo Citizen
1–1
D
3 May
@ Paju Citizen
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Asan Mugunghwa
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Gimhae City
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Cheonan City
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hwaseong – last 6
WDWWDW
17 May
vs Busan I Park
3–2
W
9 May
vs Suwon City FC
1–1
D
3 May
vs Ansan Greeners
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Seoul E-Land FC
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Gimpo Citizen
2–2
D
11 Apr
vs Jeonnam Dragons
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cheongju and Hwaseong.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cheongju vs Hwaseong?
On our numbers Cheongju have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Hwaseong 40%.
How many goals will there be in Cheongju vs Hwaseong?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cheongju vs Hwaseong?
Our predicted score is Cheongju 1–1 Hwaseong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cheongju vs Hwaseong?
Cheongju vs Hwaseong (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Cheongju Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
