Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultHwaseong to win ✗53% · @1.91
Double chanceHwaseong or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.35
Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:30 WAT, Saturday 11 July: Hwaseong v Paju Citizen in the K League 2, played at Hwaseong Stadium. In the table, Hwaseong are 6th, upper half, on 48 points after 31 matches; Paju Citizen are 10th (lower half) with 35. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hwaseong, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Suwon Bluewings, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Paju Citizen, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Yongin City, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Hwaseong, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Paju Citizen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hwaseong 1.6 xG, Paju Citizen 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hwaseong 53%, draw 27%, Paju Citizen 20%.
Lower-risk option: Hwaseong or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hwaseong or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hwaseong 1–0 Paju Citizen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hwaseong53%fair 1.89 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.20
Paju Citizen20%fair 4.98 · @3.95
2.44Expected goals
1.55Hwaseong xG
0.88Paju Citizen xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Hwaseong 1.6 – 0.9 Paju Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hwaseong to win✗
53%
1.89
1.91
Double chance
Hwaseong or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Hwaseong (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Paju Citizen +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Hwaseong to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hwaseong / FT Hwaseong✗
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.35
–
Recent results
Hwaseong – last 6
LWWWDW
6 Jun
vs Suwon Bluewings
1–2
L
31 May
vs Gyeongnam FC
2–0
W
23 May
@ Cheongju
3–2
W
17 May
vs Busan I Park
3–2
W
9 May
vs Suwon City FC
1–1
D
3 May
vs Ansan Greeners
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Paju Citizen – last 6
LLLDLW
4 Jul
vs Yongin City
0–1
L
30 May
@ Busan I Park
1–4
L
25 May
vs Gimpo Citizen
0–1
L
3 May
vs Cheongju
0–0
D
25 Apr
vs Gyeongnam FC
2–3
L
19 Apr
@ Seongnam FC
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hwaseong and Paju Citizen.
What is the prediction for Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen?
Our pick is Hwaseong or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen?
On our numbers Hwaseong have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Paju Citizen 20%.
How many goals will there be in Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen?
Our predicted score is Hwaseong 1–0 Paju Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen?
Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Hwaseong Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
