Value bet: Busan I Park to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBusan I Park to win ✓42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4% · fair 23.90
Busan I Park vs Gimpo Citizen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Busan I Park welcome Gimpo Citizen to Busan Gudeok Stadium for a K League 2 fixture on Sunday 12 July (11:30 WAT). In the table, Busan I Park are 5th, upper half, on 48 points after 30 matches; Gimpo Citizen are 8th (upper half) with 39.
Current form
Busan I Park, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Jeonnam Dragons, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Gimpo Citizen, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Asan Mugunghwa, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Busan I Park 1.6 xG, Gimpo Citizen 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Busan I Park 42%, draw 27%, Gimpo Citizen 31%.
Price worth noting: Busan I Park to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Busan I Park 1–0 Gimpo Citizen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Busan I Park42%fair 2.37 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.00
Gimpo Citizen31%fair 3.20 · @2.70
2.78Expected goals
1.60Busan I Park xG
1.19Gimpo Citizen xG
48%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Busan I Park 1.6 – 1.2 Gimpo Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan I Park to win✓
42%
2.37
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Busan I Park (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Gimpo Citizen +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Busan I Park to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Busan I Park / FT Busan I Park✓
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
4%
23.90
–
Recent results
Busan I Park – last 6
DDWLWW
5 Jul
@ Jeonnam Dragons
3–3
D
5 Jun
vs Asan Mugunghwa
2–2
D
30 May
vs Paju Citizen
4–1
W
17 May
@ Hwaseong
2–3
L
10 May
vs Cheonan City
1–0
W
3 May
@ Gimhae City
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gimpo Citizen – last 6
LDWWDD
5 Jul
vs Asan Mugunghwa
0–2
L
7 Jun
vs Jeonnam Dragons
2–2
D
30 May
@ Gimhae City
2–1
W
25 May
@ Paju Citizen
1–0
W
9 May
@ Cheongju
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Suwon City FC
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Busan I Park and Gimpo Citizen.
What is the prediction for Busan I Park vs Gimpo Citizen?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Busan I Park vs Gimpo Citizen?
On our numbers Busan I Park have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gimpo Citizen 31%.
How many goals will there be in Busan I Park vs Gimpo Citizen?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Busan I Park vs Gimpo Citizen?
Our predicted score is Busan I Park 1–0 Gimpo Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Busan I Park vs Gimpo Citizen?
Busan I Park vs Gimpo Citizen (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Busan Gudeok Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
