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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jeonnam Dragons v Asan Mugunghwa: numbers & prediction

K League 2 · South-Korea · Gwangyang Football Stadium
1–0
FT
Jeonnam Dragons 32%Draw 24%Asan Mugunghwa 44% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.65
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Asan Mugunghwa to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAsan Mugunghwa to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.81

Jeonnam Dragons vs Asan Mugunghwa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:30 WAT, Saturday 18 July: Jeonnam Dragons v Asan Mugunghwa in the K League 2, played at Gwangyang Football Stadium. In the table, Jeonnam Dragons are 16th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 30 matches; Asan Mugunghwa are 7th (upper half) with 43. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Jeonnam Dragons, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Asan Mugunghwa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Asan Mugunghwa, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Jeonnam Dragons, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Asan Mugunghwa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Jeonnam Dragons.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Jul 2026) it ended Jeonnam Dragons 3–4 Asan Mugunghwa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Jeonnam Dragons 0 wins, Asan Mugunghwa 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jeonnam Dragons 1.3 xG, Asan Mugunghwa 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jeonnam Dragons 32%, draw 24%, Asan Mugunghwa 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Asan Mugunghwa to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jeonnam Dragons 1–1 Asan Mugunghwa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jeonnam Dragons32%fair 3.12 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.35
Asan Mugunghwa44%fair 2.28 · @2.50
2.95Expected goals
1.30Jeonnam Dragons xG
1.65Asan Mugunghwa xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%

From our goals model: Jeonnam Dragons 1.3 – 1.6 Asan Mugunghwa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAsan Mugunghwa to win ✗44%2.282.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.62
Draw no betAsan Mugunghwa (draw no bet) ✗58%1.73–
Asian handicapJeonnam Dragons +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.481.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
First team to scoreAsan Mugunghwa to score first ✗53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Asan Mugunghwa / FT Asan Mugunghwa ✗27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.81–

Recent results

Jeonnam Dragons – last 6

LLDDLL
15 Julvs Asan Mugunghwa3–4L
10 Jul@ Suwon City FC0–5L
5 Julvs Busan I Park3–3D
7 Jun@ Gimpo Citizen2–2D
31 Mayvs Seoul E-Land FC0–1L
23 Mayvs Gimhae City0–1L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Asan Mugunghwa – last 6

WDWDWD
15 Jul@ Jeonnam Dragons4–3W
12 Julvs Gyeongnam FC1–1D
5 Jul@ Gimpo Citizen2–0W
5 Jun@ Busan I Park2–2D
30 Mayvs Suwon Bluewings2–1W
24 May@ Yongin City0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Jul 2026Jeonnam Dragons v Asan Mugunghwa3–4
19 Apr 2026Asan Mugunghwa v Jeonnam Dragons2–2
Jeonnam Dragons vs Asan Mugunghwa head-to-head page →

K League 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Suwon Bluewings302064+2766
2Suwon City FC301794+2660
3Seoul E-Land FC301767+1957
4Daegu FC301686+1856
5Busan I Park3014610+948
6Hwaseong311399+1248
7Asan Mugunghwa3011109+843
8Gimpo Citizen309129-239
9Gyeongnam FC3091110-438
10Paju Citizen309813-635
11Cheonan City3071211-333
12Yongin City3071211-733
13Cheongju3061410-1332
14Seongnam FC3071112-832
15Ansan Greeners317519-2426
16Jeonnam Dragons3051015-1825
17Gimhae City303918-3418

More K League 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jeonnam Dragons vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Jeonnam Dragons vs Asan Mugunghwa?

On our numbers Jeonnam Dragons have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Asan Mugunghwa 44%.

How many goals will there be in Jeonnam Dragons vs Asan Mugunghwa?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jeonnam Dragons vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Our predicted score is Jeonnam Dragons 1–1 Asan Mugunghwa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Jeonnam Dragons vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Jeonnam Dragons vs Asan Mugunghwa (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Gwangyang Football Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.