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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Paju Citizen v Seongnam FC: numbers & prediction

K League 2 · South-Korea · Paju Stadium
2–1
FT
Paju Citizen 34%Draw 23%Seongnam FC 42% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.23
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Paju Citizen to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSeongnam FC to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.33

Paju Citizen vs Seongnam FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Seongnam FC travel to face Paju Citizen on Sunday 16 August in the K League 2, with Paju Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:30 WAT. In the table, Paju Citizen are 10th, lower half, on 35 points after 30 matches; Seongnam FC are 14th (lower half) with 32. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Paju Citizen, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Suwon City FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Seongnam FC, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Cheonan City, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Seongnam FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Paju Citizen.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Seongnam FC 0–1 Paju Citizen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Paju Citizen 1.1 xG, Seongnam FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Paju Citizen 34%, draw 23%, Seongnam FC 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Paju Citizen to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paju Citizen 1–1 Seongnam FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Paju Citizen34%fair 2.91 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Seongnam FC42%fair 2.36 · @2.20
2.29Expected goals
1.06Paju Citizen xG
1.23Seongnam FC xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Paju Citizen 1.1 – 1.2 Seongnam FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSeongnam FC to win ✗42%2.362.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.85
Draw no betSeongnam FC (draw no bet) ✗55%1.81–
Asian handicapPaju Citizen +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.501.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.701.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreSeongnam FC to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Seongnam FC / FT Seongnam FC ✗23%4.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.33–

Recent results

Paju Citizen – last 6

LWLLDW
8 Augvs Suwon City FC0–1L
2 Aug@ Jeonnam Dragons2–1W
29 Jul@ Bucheon FC 19950–3L
26 Julvs Ansan Greeners0–1L
19 Jul@ Suwon Bluewings0–0D
15 Julvs Gangneung City3–2W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Seongnam FC – last 6

WLWWDL
8 Augvs Cheonan City3–2W
1 Aug@ Asan Mugunghwa0–2L
29 Jul@ Gimhae City1–0W
18 Julvs Busan I Park1–0W
15 Julvs Pocheon1–1D
11 Jul@ Daegu FC2–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Seongnam FC v Paju Citizen0–1
Paju Citizen vs Seongnam FC head-to-head page →

K League 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Suwon Bluewings302064+2766
2Suwon City FC301794+2660
3Seoul E-Land FC301767+1957
4Daegu FC301686+1856
5Busan I Park3014610+948
6Hwaseong311399+1248
7Asan Mugunghwa3011109+843
8Gimpo Citizen309129-239
9Gyeongnam FC3091110-438
10Paju Citizen309813-635
11Cheonan City3071211-333
12Yongin City3071211-733
13Cheongju3061410-1332
14Seongnam FC3071112-832
15Ansan Greeners317519-2426
16Jeonnam Dragons3051015-1825
17Gimhae City303918-3418

More K League 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paju Citizen vs Seongnam FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Paju Citizen vs Seongnam FC?

On our numbers Paju Citizen have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Seongnam FC 42%.

How many goals will there be in Paju Citizen vs Seongnam FC?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paju Citizen vs Seongnam FC?

Our predicted score is Paju Citizen 1–1 Seongnam FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Paju Citizen vs Seongnam FC?

Paju Citizen vs Seongnam FC (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Paju Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.