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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gimpo Citizen v Paju Citizen: numbers & prediction

K League 2 · South-Korea · Gimpo Salter Soccer Field
4–1
FT
Gimpo Citizen 62%Draw 26%Paju Citizen 12% Expected goals 1.63 – 0.60
88%
Betarazi pick

Gimpo Citizen or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Gimpo Citizen to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultGimpo Citizen to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceGimpo Citizen or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.70

Gimpo Citizen vs Paju Citizen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Paju Citizen travel to face Gimpo Citizen on Saturday 17 October in the K League 2, with Gimpo Salter Soccer Field the venue – the ball rolls at 08:30 WAT. In the table, Gimpo Citizen are 8th, upper half, on 39 points after 30 matches; Paju Citizen are 10th (lower half) with 35.

Current form

Gimpo Citizen, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Seoul E-Land FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Paju Citizen, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Busan I Park, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (25 May 2026) it ended Paju Citizen 0–1 Gimpo Citizen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimpo Citizen 1.6 xG, Paju Citizen 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gimpo Citizen 62%, draw 26%, Paju Citizen 12%.
  • Lower-risk option: Gimpo Citizen or draw (88%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Gimpo Citizen to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gimpo Citizen or draw (88%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.14, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimpo Citizen 1–0 Paju Citizen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimpo Citizen62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.30
Paju Citizen12%fair 8.08 · @4.20
2.23Expected goals
1.63Gimpo Citizen xG
0.60Paju Citizen xG
46%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Gimpo Citizen 1.6 – 0.6 Paju Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGimpo Citizen to win ✓62%1.621.75 ▲
Double chanceGimpo Citizen or draw ✓88%1.141.20 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.851.85
Draw no betGimpo Citizen (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapGimpo Citizen -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.08–
First team to scoreGimpo Citizen to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gimpo Citizen / FT Gimpo Citizen ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.70–

Recent results

Gimpo Citizen – last 6

LWDLLW
9 Octvs Seoul E-Land FC0–1L
19 Sepvs Busan I Park1–0W
13 Sep@ Jeonnam Dragons2–2D
6 Sepvs Seongnam FC1–2L
29 Augvs Suwon Bluewings1–4L
19 Augvs Gimcheon Sangmu FC2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Paju Citizen – last 6

DWDLDW
10 Octvs Busan I Park1–1D
20 Sep@ Gimhae City2–0W
4 Sepvs Daegu FC0–0D
29 Aug@ Gyeongnam FC0–1L
23 Aug@ Seoul E-Land FC1–1D
16 Augvs Seongnam FC2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 May 2026Paju Citizen v Gimpo Citizen0–1
Gimpo Citizen vs Paju Citizen head-to-head page →

K League 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Suwon Bluewings302064+2766
2Suwon City FC301794+2660
3Seoul E-Land FC301767+1957
4Daegu FC301686+1856
5Busan I Park3014610+948
6Hwaseong311399+1248
7Asan Mugunghwa3011109+843
8Gimpo Citizen309129-239
9Gyeongnam FC3091110-438
10Paju Citizen309813-635
11Cheonan City3071211-333
12Yongin City3071211-733
13Cheongju3061410-1332
14Seongnam FC3071112-832
15Ansan Greeners317519-2426
16Jeonnam Dragons3051015-1825
17Gimhae City303918-3418

More K League 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimpo Citizen vs Paju Citizen?

Our pick is Gimpo Citizen or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Gimpo Citizen vs Paju Citizen?

On our numbers Gimpo Citizen have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Paju Citizen 12%.

How many goals will there be in Gimpo Citizen vs Paju Citizen?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimpo Citizen vs Paju Citizen?

Our predicted score is Gimpo Citizen 1–0 Paju Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Gimpo Citizen vs Paju Citizen?

Gimpo Citizen vs Paju Citizen (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Gimpo Salter Soccer Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.