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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Paju Citizen v Hwaseong: numbers & prediction

K League 2 · South-Korea · Paju Stadium
1–1
FT
Paju Citizen 18%Draw 23%Hwaseong 60% Expected goals 0.76 – 1.66
60%
Betarazi pick

Hwaseong to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultHwaseong to win ✗60% · @1.65
Double chanceHwaseong or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.74

Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Paju Citizen welcome Hwaseong to Paju Stadium for a K League 2 fixture on Sunday 25 October (08:30 WAT). In the table, Paju Citizen are 10th, lower half, on 35 points after 30 matches; Hwaseong are 6th (upper half) with 48. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Paju Citizen, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Gimpo Citizen, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Hwaseong, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Suwon Bluewings, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Hwaseong 1–2 Paju Citizen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Paju Citizen 0.8 xG, Hwaseong 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Paju Citizen 18%, draw 23%, Hwaseong 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: Hwaseong or draw (82%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hwaseong to win (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paju Citizen 0–1 Hwaseong. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Paju Citizen18%fair 5.68 · @4.60
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.50
Hwaseong60%fair 1.67 · @1.65
2.42Expected goals
0.76Paju Citizen xG
1.66Hwaseong xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%

From our goals model: Paju Citizen 0.8 – 1.7 Hwaseong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHwaseong to win ✗60%1.671.65
Double chanceHwaseong or draw ✓82%1.211.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.921.80
Draw no betHwaseong (draw no bet)77%1.29–
Asian handicapPaju Citizen +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.77–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreHwaseong to score first ✓63%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hwaseong / FT Hwaseong ✗36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.74–

Recent results

Paju Citizen – last 6

LDWDLD
17 Oct@ Gimpo Citizen1–4L
10 Octvs Busan I Park1–1D
20 Sep@ Gimhae City2–0W
4 Sepvs Daegu FC0–0D
29 Aug@ Gyeongnam FC0–1L
23 Aug@ Seoul E-Land FC1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Hwaseong – last 6

LLDWDW
18 Oct@ Suwon Bluewings2–3L
9 Oct@ Suwon City FC0–1L
20 Sep@ Seongnam FC2–2D
12 Sep@ Ansan Greeners2–0W
5 Sep@ Cheonan City1–1D
29 Augvs Cheongju2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026Hwaseong v Paju Citizen1–2
Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong head-to-head page →

K League 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Suwon Bluewings302064+2766
2Suwon City FC301794+2660
3Seoul E-Land FC301767+1957
4Daegu FC301686+1856
5Busan I Park3014610+948
6Hwaseong311399+1248
7Asan Mugunghwa3011109+843
8Gimpo Citizen309129-239
9Gyeongnam FC3091110-438
10Paju Citizen309813-635
11Cheonan City3071211-333
12Yongin City3071211-733
13Cheongju3061410-1332
14Seongnam FC3071112-832
15Ansan Greeners317519-2426
16Jeonnam Dragons3051015-1825
17Gimhae City303918-3418

More K League 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Our pick is Hwaseong to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong?

On our numbers Paju Citizen have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hwaseong 60%.

How many goals will there be in Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Our predicted score is Paju Citizen 0–1 Hwaseong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Paju Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.