Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMasr to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.11
Masr vs El Mokawloon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Masr welcome El Mokawloon to Cairo Military Academy Stadium for a League Cup fixture on Thursday 26 March (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Masr, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over El Geish, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
El Mokawloon, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Al Ahly, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Masr, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.7 for El Mokawloon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Masr 1.1 xG, El Mokawloon 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Masr 40%, draw 30%, El Mokawloon 30%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Masr 1–0 El Mokawloon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Masr40%fair 2.52 · @2.30
Draw30%fair 3.34 · @2.75
El Mokawloon30%fair 3.29 · @3.40
2.10Expected goals
1.14Masr xG
0.96El Mokawloon xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Masr 1.1 – 1.0 El Mokawloon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Masr to win✗
40%
2.52
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.43
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Masr (draw no bet)
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
El Mokawloon +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Masr to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Masr / FT Masr✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.11
–
Recent results
Masr – last 5
WDWLD
22 Mar
vs El Geish
1–0
W
18 Mar
@ El Geish
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Future FC
2–0
W
24 Feb
vs Zamalek SC
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Ghazl El Mehalla
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
El Mokawloon – last 3
LDD
5 Mar
vs Al Ahly
1–3
L
23 Feb
@ El Gouna FC
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs AL Masry
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Masr and El Mokawloon.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Masr vs El Mokawloon?
On our numbers Masr have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 30% and El Mokawloon 30%.
How many goals will there be in Masr vs El Mokawloon?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Masr vs El Mokawloon?
Our predicted score is Masr 1–0 El Mokawloon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Masr vs El Mokawloon?
Masr vs El Mokawloon (League Cup) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Cairo Military Academy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
El Gouna FC0
AL Masry2