Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
2
Value bet: Ahlafors to win @ 2.95 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAhlafors to win ✗40% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.16
Motala vs Ahlafors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Division 2 Norra Götaland brings Motala against Ahlafors. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Motala are 11th, lower half, on 26 points after 26 matches; Ahlafors are 4th (among the top four) with 46. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Motala, last 4: LDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Husqvarna, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Ahlafors, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vänersborgs FK, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Motala 1.5 xG, Ahlafors 1.9 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Motala 40%, draw 20%, Ahlafors 40%.
Price worth noting: Ahlafors to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.49). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motala 1–2 Ahlafors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Motala40%fair 2.52 · @1.93
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.60
Ahlafors40%fair 2.50 · @2.95
3.45Expected goals
1.53Motala xG
1.93Ahlafors xG
54%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Motala 1.5 – 1.9 Ahlafors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ahlafors to win✗
40%
2.50
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Ahlafors (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Motala +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.21
First team to score
Ahlafors to score first
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Ahlafors ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ahlafors / FT Ahlafors✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Motala – last 4
LDLW
19 Apr
@ Husqvarna
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Tord
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Vänersborgs FK
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs Skara
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Ahlafors – last 3
DLD
10 Apr
vs Vänersborgs FK
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Husqvarna
0–4
L
28 Mar
vs Lidköping
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Motala and Ahlafors.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Motala vs Ahlafors?
On our numbers Motala have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ahlafors 40%.
How many goals will there be in Motala vs Ahlafors?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motala vs Ahlafors?
Our predicted score is Motala 1–2 Ahlafors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Motala vs Ahlafors?
Motala vs Ahlafors (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
