Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Ahlafors to win @ 2.35 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAhlafors to win ✓51% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Ahlafors vs Herrestads: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 13 May the Division 2 Norra Götaland brings Ahlafors against Herrestads. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Ahlafors are 4th, among the top four, on 46 points after 26 matches; Herrestads are 7th (upper half) with 37.
Current form
Ahlafors, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Grebbestad, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Herrestads, last 4: WDDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Stenungsund, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ahlafors 2.3 xG, Herrestads 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ahlafors 51%, draw 21%, Herrestads 29%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Ahlafors to win @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ahlafors 2–1 Herrestads. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ahlafors51%fair 1.96 · @2.35
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.55
Herrestads29%fair 3.50 · @2.55
3.76Expected goals
2.34Ahlafors xG
1.42Herrestads xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–25%
From our goals model: Ahlafors 2.3 – 1.4 Herrestads expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ahlafors to win✓
51%
1.96
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.45
Draw no bet
Ahlafors (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Herrestads +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
First team to score
Ahlafors to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Ahlafors ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ahlafors / FT Ahlafors✓
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Ahlafors – last 6
WLLDLD
9 May
@ Grebbestad
2–0
W
1 May
vs IFK Skövde
2–3
L
26 Apr
@ Motala
2–3
L
10 Apr
vs Vänersborgs FK
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Husqvarna
0–4
L
28 Mar
vs Lidköping
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Herrestads – last 4
WDDL
8 May
vs Stenungsund
4–1
W
1 May
@ Tord
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ IF Karlstad II
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Husqvarna
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ahlafors and Herrestads.
What is the prediction for Ahlafors vs Herrestads?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Ahlafors vs Herrestads?
On our numbers Ahlafors have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Herrestads 29%.
How many goals will there be in Ahlafors vs Herrestads?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ahlafors vs Herrestads?
Our predicted score is Ahlafors 2–1 Herrestads, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Ahlafors vs Herrestads?
Ahlafors vs Herrestads (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
