Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Stenungsund to win @ 2.70 – our chance 46% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStenungsund to win ✗46% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Stenungsund vs Motala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Division 2 Norra Götaland brings Stenungsund against Motala. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Stenungsund are 6th, upper half, on 39 points after 26 matches; Motala are 11th (lower half) with 26. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Stenungsund, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Herrestads, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Motala, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to IFK Skövde, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stenungsund 1.9 xG, Motala 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stenungsund 46%, draw 22%, Motala 33%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Stenungsund to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stenungsund 1–1 Motala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stenungsund46%fair 2.19 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.50
Motala33%fair 3.08 · @2.25
3.23Expected goals
1.92Stenungsund xG
1.31Motala xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–07%
1–26%
2–26%
From our goals model: Stenungsund 1.9 – 1.3 Motala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stenungsund to win✗
46%
2.19
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Draw no bet
Stenungsund (draw no bet)
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Motala +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Stenungsund to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Stenungsund ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stenungsund / FT Stenungsund✗
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Stenungsund – last 5
LWWLD
8 May
@ Herrestads
1–4
L
3 May
vs IF Karlstad II
2–0
W
10 Apr
vs Grebbestad
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Skara
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Tord
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Motala – last 6
LWWLDL
9 May
vs IFK Skövde
0–4
L
1 May
@ Lidköping
3–0
W
26 Apr
vs Ahlafors
3–2
W
19 Apr
@ Husqvarna
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Tord
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Vänersborgs FK
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stenungsund and Motala.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Stenungsund vs Motala?
On our numbers Stenungsund have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Motala 33%.
How many goals will there be in Stenungsund vs Motala?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenungsund vs Motala?
Our predicted score is Stenungsund 1–1 Motala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Stenungsund vs Motala?
Stenungsund vs Motala (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
