Vänersborgs FK 44%Draw 24%IF Karlstad II 32%Expected goals 1.66 – 1.21
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Vänersborgs FK to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultVänersborgs FK to win44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.58
Vänersborgs FK vs IF Karlstad II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
IF Karlstad II travel to face Vänersborgs FK on Thursday 14 May in the Division 2 Norra Götaland – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Vänersborgs FK are 9th, lower half, on 32 points after 26 matches; IF Karlstad II are 13th (in the drop zone) with 16. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vänersborgs FK, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tord, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
IF Karlstad II, last 4: LLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Stenungsund, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Vänersborgs FK, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.5 for IF Karlstad II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vänersborgs FK 1.7 xG, IF Karlstad II 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vänersborgs FK 44%, draw 24%, IF Karlstad II 32%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Vänersborgs FK to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vänersborgs FK 1–1 IF Karlstad II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vänersborgs FK44%fair 2.25 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.40
IF Karlstad II32%fair 3.13 · @2.45
2.86Expected goals
1.66Vänersborgs FK xG
1.21IF Karlstad II xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–09%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Vänersborgs FK 1.7 – 1.2 IF Karlstad II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vänersborgs FK to win
44%
2.25
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.61
1.48
Draw no bet
Vänersborgs FK (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
IF Karlstad II +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Vänersborgs FK to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vänersborgs FK / FT Vänersborgs FK
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Vänersborgs FK – last 5
DLWDW
10 May
@ Tord
2–2
D
1 May
vs Vänersborgs IF
1–2
L
17 Apr
vs Lidköping
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Ahlafors
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Motala
2–1
W
1.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
IF Karlstad II – last 4
LLDD
3 May
@ Stenungsund
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Skara
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Herrestads
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Grebbestad
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vänersborgs FK and IF Karlstad II.
What is the prediction for Vänersborgs FK vs IF Karlstad II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Vänersborgs FK vs IF Karlstad II?
On our numbers Vänersborgs FK have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and IF Karlstad II 32%.
How many goals will there be in Vänersborgs FK vs IF Karlstad II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vänersborgs FK vs IF Karlstad II?
Our predicted score is Vänersborgs FK 1–1 IF Karlstad II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Vänersborgs FK vs IF Karlstad II?
Vänersborgs FK vs IF Karlstad II (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
