Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Ahlafors to win @ 3.80 – our chance 45% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +69%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAhlafors to win ✓45% · @3.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.13
Tord vs Ahlafors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ahlafors travel to face Tord on Saturday 30 May in the Division 2 Norra Götaland – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Tord are 12th, in the drop zone, on 22 points after 26 matches; Ahlafors are 4th (among the top four) with 46. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tord, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Skara, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Ahlafors, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over IF Karlstad II, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Momentum favours Ahlafors, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Tord.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tord 1.5 xG, Ahlafors 2.0 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tord 35%, draw 20%, Ahlafors 45%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Ahlafors to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tord 1–1 Ahlafors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tord35%fair 2.83 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.85
Ahlafors45%fair 2.24 · @3.80
3.49Expected goals
1.52Tord xG
1.96Ahlafors xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Tord 1.5 – 2.0 Ahlafors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ahlafors to win✓
45%
2.24
3.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.45
Draw no bet
Ahlafors (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Tord +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
First team to score
Ahlafors to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Ahlafors ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ahlafors / FT Ahlafors✓
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.13
–
Recent results
Tord – last 6
LDDDDD
21 May
vs Skara
1–2
L
10 May
vs Vänersborgs FK
2–2
D
1 May
vs Herrestads
2–2
D
12 Apr
@ Motala
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Vänersborgs IF
3–3
D
29 Mar
@ Stenungsund
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ahlafors – last 6
WWWLLD
23 May
@ IF Karlstad II
4–1
W
13 May
vs Herrestads
5–0
W
9 May
@ Grebbestad
2–0
W
1 May
vs IFK Skövde
2–3
L
26 Apr
@ Motala
2–3
L
10 Apr
vs Vänersborgs FK
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tord and Ahlafors.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Tord vs Ahlafors?
On our numbers Tord have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ahlafors 45%.
How many goals will there be in Tord vs Ahlafors?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tord vs Ahlafors?
Our predicted score is Tord 1–1 Ahlafors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Tord vs Ahlafors?
Tord vs Ahlafors (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
