Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: Ahlafors to win @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAhlafors to win ✗53% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Kumla vs Ahlafors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kumla welcome Ahlafors for a Division 2 Norra Götaland fixture on Sunday 7 June (13:00 WAT). In the table, Kumla are 10th, lower half, on 29 points after 26 matches; Ahlafors are 4th (among the top four) with 46. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kumla, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Herrestads, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Ahlafors, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tord, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Momentum favours Ahlafors, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Kumla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kumla 1.3 xG, Ahlafors 2.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kumla 26%, draw 21%, Ahlafors 53%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: Ahlafors to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kumla 1–2 Ahlafors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kumla26%fair 3.88 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.70
Ahlafors53%fair 1.88 · @2.15
3.37Expected goals
1.25Kumla xG
2.12Ahlafors xG
67%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Kumla 1.3 – 2.1 Ahlafors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ahlafors to win✗
53%
1.88
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.48
1.42
Draw no bet
Ahlafors (draw no bet)
67%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Kumla +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
First team to score
Ahlafors to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Ahlafors ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ahlafors / FT Ahlafors✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Kumla – last 6
LLLLWW
30 May
vs Herrestads
1–2
L
22 May
@ IFK Skövde
1–2
L
14 May
vs Skara
0–2
L
1 May
@ Husqvarna
1–3
L
10 Apr
@ Lidköping
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Grebbestad
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ahlafors – last 6
WWWWLL
30 May
@ Tord
2–1
W
23 May
@ IF Karlstad II
4–1
W
13 May
vs Herrestads
5–0
W
9 May
@ Grebbestad
2–0
W
1 May
vs IFK Skövde
2–3
L
26 Apr
@ Motala
2–3
L
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kumla and Ahlafors.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Kumla vs Ahlafors?
On our numbers Kumla have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ahlafors 53%.
How many goals will there be in Kumla vs Ahlafors?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kumla vs Ahlafors?
Our predicted score is Kumla 1–2 Ahlafors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Kumla vs Ahlafors?
Kumla vs Ahlafors (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
