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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Grebbestad v Kumla: numbers & prediction

2–1
FT

Kumla

WDDLL
Grebbestad 47%Draw 23%Kumla 30% Expected goals 1.86 – 1.26
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds
1

Value bet: Grebbestad to win @ 2.45 – our chance 47% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultGrebbestad to win ✓47% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.40

Grebbestad vs Kumla: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Grebbestad welcome Kumla for a Division 2 Norra Götaland fixture on Wednesday 24 June (17:00 WAT). In the table, Grebbestad are 5th, upper half, on 40 points after 26 matches; Kumla are 10th (lower half) with 29.

Current form

Grebbestad, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Vänersborgs IF, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Kumla, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tord, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Grebbestad, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Kumla.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Kumla 2–0 Grebbestad.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Grebbestad 1.9 xG, Kumla 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Grebbestad 47%, draw 23%, Kumla 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.42.
  • Price worth noting: Grebbestad to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 47%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grebbestad 1–1 Kumla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Grebbestad47%fair 2.14 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.35
Kumla30%fair 3.29 · @2.50
3.12Expected goals
1.86Grebbestad xG
1.26Kumla xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
1–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Grebbestad 1.9 – 1.3 Kumla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGrebbestad to win ✓47%2.142.45 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.42
Draw no betGrebbestad (draw no bet) ✓61%1.65–
Asian handicapKumla +1 (Asian handicap)63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.651.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
First team to scoreGrebbestad to score first ✗57%1.76–
Half-time resultGrebbestad ahead at half-time ✗39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Grebbestad / FT Grebbestad ✗32%3.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.40–

Recent results

Grebbestad – last 6

WWLWWW
18 Junvs Vänersborgs IF4–3W
12 Jun@ IFK Skövde4–0W
5 Junvs Husqvarna1–2L
29 May@ Vänersborgs FK3–2W
23 Mayvs Motala2–0W
14 May@ Lidköping3–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kumla – last 6

WDDLLL
18 Junvs Tord1–0W
11 Jun@ Motala0–0D
7 Junvs Ahlafors1–1D
30 Mayvs Herrestads1–2L
22 May@ IFK Skövde1–2L
14 Mayvs Skara0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Kumla v Grebbestad2–0
Grebbestad vs Kumla head-to-head page →

Division 2 Norra Götaland table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna262132+3966
2Skara261853+3059
3IFK Skövde261556+1750
4Ahlafors261376+2946
5Grebbestad2612410+640
6Stenungsund261169+1439
7Herrestads261079-437
8Lidköping269611-833
9Vänersborgs FK269512-932
10Kumla267811-1729
11Motala266812-926
12Tord2641012-1722
13IF Karlstad II263716-2116
14Vänersborgs IF262321-509

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Grebbestad vs Kumla?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Grebbestad vs Kumla?

On our numbers Grebbestad have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kumla 30%.

How many goals will there be in Grebbestad vs Kumla?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Grebbestad vs Kumla?

Our predicted score is Grebbestad 1–1 Kumla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Grebbestad vs Kumla?

Grebbestad vs Kumla (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Wednesday 24 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.