Value bet: Kumla to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStenungsund to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Stenungsund vs Kumla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stenungsund welcome Kumla for a Division 2 Norra Götaland fixture on Saturday 15 August (13:00 WAT). In the table, Stenungsund are 6th, upper half, on 39 points after 26 matches; Kumla are 10th (lower half) with 29.
Current form
Stenungsund, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lidköping, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Kumla, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vänersborgs IF, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stenungsund 1.5 xG, Kumla 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stenungsund 43%, draw 21%, Kumla 36%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Kumla to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stenungsund 1–1 Kumla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stenungsund43%fair 2.30 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50
Kumla36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
2.84Expected goals
1.51Stenungsund xG
1.33Kumla xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Stenungsund 1.5 – 1.3 Kumla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stenungsund to win✓
43%
2.30
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.53
Draw no bet
Stenungsund (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Kumla +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Stenungsund to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stenungsund / FT Stenungsund✓
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
Stenungsund – last 6
WDLLLW
8 Aug
@ Lidköping
2–1
W
31 Jul
vs Skara
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Trollhättan
1–3
L
18 Jul
vs Utsikten
0–3
L
26 Jun
@ Vänersborgs IF
0–1
L
18 Jun
@ Vänersborgs FK
4–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kumla – last 6
WLLWDD
8 Aug
vs Vänersborgs IF
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ Tord
0–2
L
24 Jun
@ Grebbestad
1–2
L
18 Jun
vs Tord
1–0
W
11 Jun
@ Motala
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Ahlafors
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stenungsund and Kumla.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Stenungsund vs Kumla?
On our numbers Stenungsund have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kumla 36%.
How many goals will there be in Stenungsund vs Kumla?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenungsund vs Kumla?
Our predicted score is Stenungsund 1–1 Kumla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Stenungsund vs Kumla?
Stenungsund vs Kumla (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
