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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Grebbestad v Stenungsund: numbers & prediction

1–1
FT
Grebbestad 55%Draw 19%Stenungsund 26% Expected goals 2.03 – 1.33
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultGrebbestad to win ✗55% · @1.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49

Grebbestad vs Stenungsund: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Stenungsund travel to face Grebbestad on Saturday 22 August in the Division 2 Norra Götaland – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Grebbestad are 5th, upper half, on 40 points after 26 matches; Stenungsund are 6th (upper half) with 39. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Grebbestad, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ahlafors, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Stenungsund, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Kumla, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Grebbestad, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Stenungsund.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Stenungsund 2–1 Grebbestad.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Grebbestad 2.0 xG, Stenungsund 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Grebbestad 55%, draw 19%, Stenungsund 26%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grebbestad 2–1 Stenungsund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Grebbestad55%fair 1.81 · @1.88
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @3.65
Stenungsund26%fair 3.81 · @3.05
3.36Expected goals
2.03Grebbestad xG
1.33Stenungsund xG
55%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–16%
2–26%

From our goals model: Grebbestad 2.0 – 1.3 Stenungsund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGrebbestad to win ✗55%1.811.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.231.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.80–
Draw no betGrebbestad (draw no bet)68%1.47–
Asian handicapStenungsund +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.521.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.831.72
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.371.29
First team to scoreGrebbestad to score first ✓58%1.71–
Half-time resultGrebbestad ahead at half-time ✓41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Grebbestad / FT Grebbestad ✗34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.49–

Recent results

Grebbestad – last 6

LDWWWW
14 Aug@ Ahlafors1–3L
8 Augvs IFK Skövde1–1D
31 Jul@ IF Karlstad II2–1W
24 Junvs Kumla2–1W
18 Junvs Vänersborgs IF4–3W
12 Jun@ IFK Skövde4–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Stenungsund – last 6

WWDLLL
15 Augvs Kumla5–0W
8 Aug@ Lidköping2–1W
31 Julvs Skara1–1D
25 Jul@ Trollhättan1–3L
18 Julvs Utsikten0–3L
26 Jun@ Vänersborgs IF0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Apr 2026Stenungsund v Grebbestad2–1
Grebbestad vs Stenungsund head-to-head page →

Division 2 Norra Götaland table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna262132+3966
2Skara261853+3059
3IFK Skövde261556+1750
4Ahlafors261376+2946
5Grebbestad2612410+640
6Stenungsund261169+1439
7Herrestads261079-437
8Lidköping269611-833
9Vänersborgs FK269512-932
10Kumla267811-1729
11Motala266812-926
12Tord2641012-1722
13IF Karlstad II263716-2116
14Vänersborgs IF262321-509

More Division 2 Norra Götaland predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Grebbestad vs Stenungsund?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Grebbestad vs Stenungsund?

On our numbers Grebbestad have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Stenungsund 26%.

How many goals will there be in Grebbestad vs Stenungsund?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Grebbestad vs Stenungsund?

Our predicted score is Grebbestad 2–1 Stenungsund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Grebbestad vs Stenungsund?

Grebbestad vs Stenungsund (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.