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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Motala v Stenungsund: numbers & prediction

Motala

LDDLD
2–2
FT
Motala 38%Draw 21%Stenungsund 41% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.57
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.58 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.58Odds

Picks by market

ResultStenungsund to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.72

Motala vs Stenungsund: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Motala v Stenungsund in the Division 2 Norra Götaland. In the table, Motala are 11th, lower half, on 26 points after 26 matches; Stenungsund are 6th (upper half) with 39. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Motala, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to IFK Skövde, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Stenungsund, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Herrestads, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Stenungsund, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Motala.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Stenungsund 1–1 Motala.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Motala 1.5 xG, Stenungsund 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Motala 38%, draw 21%, Stenungsund 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.58). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motala 1–1 Stenungsund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Motala38%fair 2.60 · @2.33
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Stenungsund41%fair 2.46 · @2.40
3.09Expected goals
1.52Motala xG
1.57Stenungsund xG
54%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Motala 1.5 – 1.6 Stenungsund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStenungsund to win ✗41%2.462.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.85–
Draw no betStenungsund (draw no bet)51%1.94–
Asian handicapMotala +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.671.58
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.23
First team to scoreStenungsund to score first49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stenungsund / FT Stenungsund ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.72–

Recent results

Motala – last 6

LDDLDL
30 Aug@ IFK Skövde2–3L
23 Augvs IF Karlstad II2–2D
15 Aug@ Tord1–1D
9 Augvs Husqvarna0–1L
1 Aug@ Vänersborgs IF3–3D
27 Junvs Vänersborgs FK0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Stenungsund – last 6

LDWWDL
28 Augvs Herrestads0–1L
22 Aug@ Grebbestad1–1D
15 Augvs Kumla5–0W
8 Aug@ Lidköping2–1W
31 Julvs Skara1–1D
25 Jul@ Trollhättan1–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Stenungsund v Motala1–1
Motala vs Stenungsund head-to-head page →

Division 2 Norra Götaland table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna262132+3966
2Skara261853+3059
3IFK Skövde261556+1750
4Ahlafors261376+2946
5Grebbestad2612410+640
6Stenungsund261169+1439
7Herrestads261079-437
8Lidköping269611-833
9Vänersborgs FK269512-932
10Kumla267811-1729
11Motala266812-926
12Tord2641012-1722
13IF Karlstad II263716-2116
14Vänersborgs IF262321-509

More Division 2 Norra Götaland predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Motala vs Stenungsund?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.58.

Who will win Motala vs Stenungsund?

On our numbers Motala have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stenungsund 41%.

How many goals will there be in Motala vs Stenungsund?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Motala vs Stenungsund?

Our predicted score is Motala 1–1 Stenungsund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Motala vs Stenungsund?

Motala vs Stenungsund (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.