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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vänersborgs FK v Ahlafors: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Vänersborgs FK 18%Draw 17%Ahlafors 64% Expected goals 1.12 – 2.27
64%
Betarazi pick

Ahlafors to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultAhlafors to win ✗64% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28

Vänersborgs FK vs Ahlafors: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vänersborgs FK welcome Ahlafors for a Division 2 Norra Götaland fixture on Friday 4 September (18:15 WAT). In the table, Vänersborgs FK are 9th, lower half, on 32 points after 26 matches; Ahlafors are 4th (among the top four) with 46. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Vänersborgs FK, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over IF Karlstad II, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Ahlafors, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 7–1 win over Kumla, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Ahlafors, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Vänersborgs FK.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Ahlafors 1–1 Vänersborgs FK.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vänersborgs FK 1.1 xG, Ahlafors 2.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vänersborgs FK 18%, draw 17%, Ahlafors 64%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ahlafors to win (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vänersborgs FK 1–2 Ahlafors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vänersborgs FK18%fair 5.43 · @4.20
Draw17%fair 5.77 · @4.20
Ahlafors64%fair 1.56 · @1.57
3.39Expected goals
1.12Vänersborgs FK xG
2.27Ahlafors xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Vänersborgs FK 1.1 – 2.3 Ahlafors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAhlafors to win ✗64%1.561.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.211.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.50
Draw no betAhlafors (draw no bet) ✗78%1.29–
Asian handicapAhlafors -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.181.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.511.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.821.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.371.33
First team to scoreAhlafors to score first ✗65%1.54–
Half-time resultAhlafors ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ahlafors / FT Ahlafors ✗41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.28–

Recent results

Vänersborgs FK – last 6

WLWLLW
29 Aug@ IF Karlstad II3–1W
21 Augvs IFK Skövde0–1L
17 Aug@ Vänersborgs IF2–0W
7 Aug@ Skara0–4L
31 Julvs Herrestads2–4L
27 Jun@ Motala1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ahlafors – last 6

WDWWDD
29 Augvs Kumla7–1W
21 Aug@ Lidköping2–2D
14 Augvs Grebbestad3–1W
8 Augvs IF Karlstad II2–0W
31 Jul@ IFK Skövde0–0D
27 Junvs Tord2–2D
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Apr 2026Ahlafors v Vänersborgs FK1–1
Vänersborgs FK vs Ahlafors head-to-head page →

Division 2 Norra Götaland table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna262132+3966
2Skara261853+3059
3IFK Skövde261556+1750
4Ahlafors261376+2946
5Grebbestad2612410+640
6Stenungsund261169+1439
7Herrestads261079-437
8Lidköping269611-833
9Vänersborgs FK269512-932
10Kumla267811-1729
11Motala266812-926
12Tord2641012-1722
13IF Karlstad II263716-2116
14Vänersborgs IF262321-509

More Division 2 Norra Götaland predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vänersborgs FK vs Ahlafors?

Our pick is Ahlafors to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Vänersborgs FK vs Ahlafors?

On our numbers Vänersborgs FK have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ahlafors 64%.

How many goals will there be in Vänersborgs FK vs Ahlafors?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vänersborgs FK vs Ahlafors?

Our predicted score is Vänersborgs FK 1–2 Ahlafors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Vänersborgs FK vs Ahlafors?

Vänersborgs FK vs Ahlafors (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.