Stenungsund 64%Draw 14%Vänersborgs FK 21%Expected goals 2.14 – 1.08
64%
Betarazi pick
Stenungsund to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.74 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.74Odds
Picks by market
ResultStenungsund to win ✗64% · @1.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Stenungsund vs Vänersborgs FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vänersborgs FK travel to face Stenungsund on Friday 11 September in the Division 2 Norra Götaland – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Stenungsund are 6th, upper half, on 39 points after 26 matches; Vänersborgs FK are 9th (lower half) with 32.
Current form
Stenungsund, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Motala, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Vänersborgs FK, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ahlafors, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jun 2026) it ended Vänersborgs FK 2–4 Stenungsund.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stenungsund 2.1 xG, Vänersborgs FK 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stenungsund 64%, draw 14%, Vänersborgs FK 21%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Stenungsund to win (64%, odds 1.74 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stenungsund 2–1 Vänersborgs FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stenungsund64%fair 1.55 · @1.74
Draw14%fair 6.93 · @3.82
Vänersborgs FK21%fair 4.75 · @3.62
3.23Expected goals
2.14Stenungsund xG
1.08Vänersborgs FK xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Stenungsund 2.1 – 1.1 Vänersborgs FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Stenungsund vs Vänersborgs FK?
Our pick is Stenungsund to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.74.
Who will win Stenungsund vs Vänersborgs FK?
On our numbers Stenungsund have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Vänersborgs FK 21%.
How many goals will there be in Stenungsund vs Vänersborgs FK?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenungsund vs Vänersborgs FK?
Our predicted score is Stenungsund 2–1 Vänersborgs FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Stenungsund vs Vänersborgs FK?
Stenungsund vs Vänersborgs FK (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
