Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultAhlafors to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Ahlafors vs Motala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ahlafors welcome Motala for a Division 2 Norra Götaland fixture on Sunday 4 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, Ahlafors are 4th, among the top four, on 46 points after 26 matches; Motala are 11th (lower half) with 26. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ahlafors, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vänersborgs IF, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Motala, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Herrestads, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ahlafors, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Motala.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Motala 3–2 Ahlafors.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ahlafors 2.1 xG, Motala 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ahlafors 63%, draw 17%, Motala 20%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ahlafors to win (63%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ahlafors 2–1 Motala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ahlafors63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @3.90
Motala20%fair 5.11 · @3.60
3.13Expected goals
2.10Ahlafors xG
1.04Motala xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ahlafors 2.1 – 1.0 Motala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Ahlafors to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Ahlafors vs Motala?
On our numbers Ahlafors have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Motala 20%.
How many goals will there be in Ahlafors vs Motala?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ahlafors vs Motala?
Our predicted score is Ahlafors 2–1 Motala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ahlafors vs Motala?
Ahlafors vs Motala (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
