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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ahlafors v Stenungsund: numbers & prediction

1–3
FT
Ahlafors 67%Draw 18%Stenungsund 15% Expected goals 2.38 – 1.04
67%
Betarazi pick

Ahlafors to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultAhlafors to win ✗67% · @1.53
Double chanceAhlafors or draw ✗85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38

Ahlafors vs Stenungsund: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the Division 2 Norra Götaland brings Ahlafors against Stenungsund. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Ahlafors are 4th, among the top four, on 46 points after 26 matches; Stenungsund are 6th (upper half) with 39.

Current form

Ahlafors, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 6–2 win over Motala, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Stenungsund, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to IFK Skövde, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ahlafors, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Stenungsund.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Jun 2026) it ended Stenungsund 0–4 Ahlafors.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ahlafors 2.4 xG, Stenungsund 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ahlafors 67%, draw 18%, Stenungsund 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ahlafors or draw (85%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ahlafors to win (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ahlafors 2–1 Stenungsund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ahlafors67%fair 1.49 · @1.53
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @4.33
Stenungsund15%fair 6.75 · @4.33
3.42Expected goals
2.38Ahlafors xG
1.04Stenungsund xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%

From our goals model: Ahlafors 2.4 – 1.0 Stenungsund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAhlafors to win ✗67%1.491.53
Double chanceAhlafors or draw ✗85%1.171.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.44
Draw no betAhlafors (draw no bet) ✗82%1.22–
Asian handicapAhlafors -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.171.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗53%1.901.83
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.401.36
First team to scoreAhlafors to score first ✗67%1.48–
Half-time resultAhlafors ahead at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ahlafors / FT Ahlafors ✗44%2.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.38–

Recent results

Ahlafors – last 6

WWLWLW
4 Octvs Motala6–2W
25 Sep@ Vänersborgs IF2–1W
19 Sep@ Skara0–1L
13 Sepvs Husqvarna2–0W
4 Sep@ Vänersborgs FK0–1L
29 Augvs Kumla7–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Stenungsund – last 6

LWWLDL
3 Octvs IFK Skövde0–3L
27 Sep@ Tord5–1W
20 Sep@ IF Karlstad II2–0W
11 Sepvs Vänersborgs FK0–1L
5 Sep@ Motala2–2D
28 Augvs Herrestads0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jun 2026Stenungsund v Ahlafors0–4
Ahlafors vs Stenungsund head-to-head page →

Division 2 Norra Götaland table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna262132+3966
2Skara261853+3059
3IFK Skövde261556+1750
4Ahlafors261376+2946
5Grebbestad2612410+640
6Stenungsund261169+1439
7Herrestads261079-437
8Lidköping269611-833
9Vänersborgs FK269512-932
10Kumla267811-1729
11Motala266812-926
12Tord2641012-1722
13IF Karlstad II263716-2116
14Vänersborgs IF262321-509

More Division 2 Norra Götaland predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ahlafors vs Stenungsund?

Our pick is Ahlafors to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Ahlafors vs Stenungsund?

On our numbers Ahlafors have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Stenungsund 15%.

How many goals will there be in Ahlafors vs Stenungsund?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ahlafors vs Stenungsund?

Our predicted score is Ahlafors 2–1 Stenungsund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Ahlafors vs Stenungsund?

Ahlafors vs Stenungsund (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.