Vänersborgs FK 41%Draw 20%Kumla 39%Expected goals 1.49 – 1.43
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultVänersborgs FK to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vänersborgs FK welcome Kumla for a Division 2 Norra Götaland fixture on Thursday 8 October (18:30 WAT). In the table, Vänersborgs FK are 9th, lower half, on 32 points after 26 matches; Kumla are 10th (lower half) with 29. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vänersborgs FK, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lidköping, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Kumla, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Skara, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Vänersborgs FK, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Kumla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vänersborgs FK 1.5 xG, Kumla 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vänersborgs FK 41%, draw 20%, Kumla 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vänersborgs FK 1–1 Kumla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vänersborgs FK41%fair 2.43 · @2.30
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Kumla39%fair 2.58 · @2.50
2.92Expected goals
1.49Vänersborgs FK xG
1.43Kumla xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Vänersborgs FK 1.5 – 1.4 Kumla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vänersborgs FK to win✗
41%
2.43
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Draw no bet
Vänersborgs FK (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Kumla +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.20
First team to score
Vänersborgs FK to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vänersborgs FK / FT Vänersborgs FK✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
Vänersborgs FK – last 6
LLLWWW
3 Oct
@ Lidköping
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Husqvarna
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Tord
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Stenungsund
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Ahlafors
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ IF Karlstad II
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kumla – last 6
LWLDDL
3 Oct
@ Skara
1–3
L
26 Sep
vs Lidköping
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Herrestads
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Motala
0–0
D
4 Sep
vs IFK Skövde
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Ahlafors
1–7
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vänersborgs FK and Kumla.
What is the prediction for Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla?
On our numbers Vänersborgs FK have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kumla 39%.
How many goals will there be in Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla?
Our predicted score is Vänersborgs FK 1–1 Kumla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla?
Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
