Value bet: Gute to win @ 1.79 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultGute to win59% · @1.79
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals69% · @1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.06
Gute vs Korsnäs: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 12 April the Division 2 Norra Svealand brings Gute against Korsnäs. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Gute are 8th, lower half, on 33 points after 26 matches; Korsnäs are 13th (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gute 2.5 xG, Korsnäs 1.3 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gute 59%, draw 20%, Korsnäs 21%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Gute to win @1.79 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gute 2–1 Korsnäs. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gute59%fair 1.69 · @1.79
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.80
Korsnäs21%fair 4.72 · @3.44
3.82Expected goals
2.49Gute xG
1.33Korsnäs xG
66%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Gute 2.5 – 1.3 Korsnäs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gute to win
59%
1.69
1.79 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
66%
1.52
1.40
Draw no bet
Gute (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Gute -0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.39
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
51%
1.97
1.69
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.26
First team to score
Gute to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Gute ahead at half-time
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gute / FT Gute
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Gute – last 1
W
5 Apr
@ Bollstanäs
5–2
W
5.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Korsnäs – last 1
D
5 Apr
@ Lidingö
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gute and Korsnäs.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Gute vs Korsnäs?
On our numbers Gute have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Korsnäs 21%.
How many goals will there be in Gute vs Korsnäs?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gute vs Korsnäs?
Our predicted score is Gute 2–1 Korsnäs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Gute vs Korsnäs?
Gute vs Korsnäs (Division 2 Norra Svealand) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
