Österlen vs Berga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Österlen welcome Berga for a Division 2 Östra Götaland fixture on Saturday 9 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, Österlen are 8th, lower half, on 33 points after 26 matches; Berga are 6th (upper half) with 43.
Current form
Österlen, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lilla Torg, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Berga, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Växjö Norra, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Österlen 1.5 xG, Berga 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Österlen 39%, draw 23%, Berga 38%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Österlen 1–1 Berga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Österlen39%fair 2.56 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.50
Berga38%fair 2.66 · @2.75
3.03Expected goals
1.50Österlen xG
1.53Berga xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Österlen 1.5 – 1.5 Berga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Österlen to win
39%
2.56
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.63
1.48
Draw no bet
Österlen (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Österlen +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Berga to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Berga / FT Berga
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Österlen – last 4
DLWL
30 Apr
@ Lilla Torg
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Karlskrona
1–3
L
3 Apr
@ Karlshamn
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Linero
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Berga – last 5
DDWLD
1 May
@ Växjö Norra
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Oskarshamns AIK
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Karlshamn
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Karlskrona
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Staffanstorp United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Österlen and Berga.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Österlen vs Berga?
On our numbers Österlen have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Berga 38%.
How many goals will there be in Österlen vs Berga?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Österlen vs Berga?
Our predicted score is Österlen 1–1 Berga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Österlen vs Berga?
Österlen vs Berga (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lilla Torg1