Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Berga to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBerga to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Berga vs Räppe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Thursday 14 May: Berga v Räppe in the Division 2 Östra Götaland. In the table, Berga are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 26 matches; Räppe are 13th (in the drop zone) with 18. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Berga, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Växjö Norra, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Räppe, last 4: LLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Karlskrona, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Berga 2.2 xG, Räppe 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Berga 62%, draw 18%, Räppe 20%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Berga to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Berga 2–0 Räppe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Berga62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @3.55
Räppe20%fair 5.13 · @3.20
3.20Expected goals
2.23Berga xG
0.97Räppe xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Berga 2.2 – 1.0 Räppe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Berga to win✓
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.53
Draw no bet
Berga (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Berga -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Berga to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Berga ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Berga / FT Berga✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Berga – last 5
DDWLD
1 May
@ Växjö Norra
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Oskarshamns AIK
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Karlshamn
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Karlskrona
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Staffanstorp United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Räppe – last 4
LLDW
8 May
vs Karlskrona
1–2
L
2 May
@ Staffanstorp United
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Nosaby
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Karlshamn
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Berga and Räppe.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Berga vs Räppe?
On our numbers Berga have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Räppe 20%.
How many goals will there be in Berga vs Räppe?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Berga vs Räppe?
Our predicted score is Berga 2–0 Räppe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Berga vs Räppe?
Berga vs Räppe (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
