Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Karlskrona to win @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKarlskrona to win ✓60% · @1.77
Double chanceKarlskrona or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Karlskrona vs Nosaby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Thursday 30 July: Karlskrona v Nosaby in the Division 2 Östra Götaland. In the table, Karlskrona are 1st, leading the league, on 63 points after 26 matches; Nosaby are 4th (among the top four) with 45. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Karlskrona, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Österlen, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Nosaby, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Lilla Torg W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Karlskrona, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Nosaby.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Nosaby 3–1 Karlskrona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Karlskrona 2.2 xG, Nosaby 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Karlskrona 60%, draw 21%, Nosaby 19%.
Lower-risk option: Karlskrona or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Karlskrona to win @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karlskrona 2–1 Nosaby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Karlskrona60%fair 1.66 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.75
Nosaby19%fair 5.36 · @3.75
3.23Expected goals
2.20Karlskrona xG
1.03Nosaby xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Karlskrona 2.2 – 1.0 Nosaby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Karlskrona vs Nosaby?
On our numbers Karlskrona have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nosaby 19%.
How many goals will there be in Karlskrona vs Nosaby?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karlskrona vs Nosaby?
Our predicted score is Karlskrona 2–1 Nosaby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Karlskrona vs Nosaby?
Karlskrona vs Nosaby (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
