Lilla Torg W 27%Draw 25%Berga 49%Expected goals 1.22 – 1.62
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultBerga to win ✗49% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Lilla Torg W vs Berga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Berga travel to face Lilla Torg W on Sunday 24 May in the Division 2 Östra Götaland – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT.
Current form
Lilla Torg W, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Torns, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Berga, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Räppe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lilla Torg W 1.2 xG, Berga 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lilla Torg W 27%, draw 25%, Berga 49%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lilla Torg W 1–1 Berga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lilla Torg W27%fair 3.77 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.60
Berga49%fair 2.06 · @1.91
2.84Expected goals
1.22Lilla Torg W xG
1.62Berga xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Lilla Torg W 1.2 – 1.6 Berga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Berga to win✗
49%
2.06
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Draw no bet
Berga (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Lilla Torg W +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Berga to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Berga / FT Berga✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
Lilla Torg W – last 6
WDDWLL
13 May
@ Torns
2–0
W
9 May
vs Växjö Norra
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs Österlen
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs IFK Trelleborg
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Sölvesborg
0–5
L
28 Mar
@ Oskarshamns AIK
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Berga – last 6
WDDWLD
14 May
vs Räppe
6–0
W
1 May
@ Växjö Norra
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Oskarshamns AIK
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Karlshamn
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Karlskrona
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Staffanstorp United
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lilla Torg W and Berga.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Lilla Torg W vs Berga?
On our numbers Lilla Torg W have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Berga 49%.
How many goals will there be in Lilla Torg W vs Berga?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lilla Torg W vs Berga?
Our predicted score is Lilla Torg W 1–1 Berga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lilla Torg W vs Berga?
Lilla Torg W vs Berga (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
