Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultBerga to win ✗63% · @1.60
Double chanceBerga or draw ✗82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Berga vs Lilla Torg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the Division 2 Östra Götaland brings Berga against Lilla Torg. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Berga are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 26 matches; Lilla Torg are 10th (lower half) with 32.
Current form
Berga, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Karlskrona, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Lilla Torg, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Räppe, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Berga, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Lilla Torg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Berga 2.1 xG, Lilla Torg 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Berga 63%, draw 20%, Lilla Torg 18%.
Lower-risk option: Berga or draw (82%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Berga to win (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Berga 2–1 Lilla Torg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Berga63%fair 1.60 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.90
Lilla Torg18%fair 5.68 · @4.33
3.19Expected goals
2.15Berga xG
1.04Lilla Torg xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Berga 2.1 – 1.0 Lilla Torg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Berga to win✗
63%
1.60
1.60
Double chance
Berga or draw✗
82%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Draw no bet
Berga (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Berga -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.25
First team to score
Berga to score first✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Berga ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Berga / FT Berga✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Berga – last 6
LDWWWW
30 Aug
@ Karlskrona
1–4
L
22 Aug
vs Staffanstorp United
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Torns
4–3
W
7 Aug
@ Räppe
3–0
W
2 Aug
vs IFK Trelleborg
3–1
W
26 Jun
vs Växjö Norra
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lilla Torg – last 6
WLLDLD
29 Aug
vs Räppe
3–1
W
23 Aug
@ IFK Trelleborg
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Karlskrona
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Staffanstorp United
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Oskarshamns AIK
2–3
L
25 Jul
@ Kristianstad
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Berga and Lilla Torg.
Our pick is Berga to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Berga vs Lilla Torg?
On our numbers Berga have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lilla Torg 18%.
How many goals will there be in Berga vs Lilla Torg?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Berga vs Lilla Torg?
Our predicted score is Berga 2–1 Lilla Torg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Berga vs Lilla Torg?
Berga vs Lilla Torg (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
