Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.69 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.69Odds
Picks by market
ResultÖsterlen to win ✗62% · @1.69
Double chanceÖsterlen or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Österlen vs Lilla Torg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Österlen welcome Lilla Torg for a Division 2 Östra Götaland fixture on Sunday 27 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Österlen are 8th, lower half, on 33 points after 26 matches; Lilla Torg are 10th (lower half) with 32. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Österlen, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Staffanstorp United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Lilla Torg, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Linero, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Österlen 2.1 xG, Lilla Torg 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Österlen 62%, draw 19%, Lilla Torg 19%.
Lower-risk option: Österlen or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Österlen to win (62%, odds 1.69 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Österlen 2–1 Lilla Torg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Österlen62%fair 1.62 · @1.69
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.78
Lilla Torg19%fair 5.28 · @3.75
3.16Expected goals
2.10Österlen xG
1.06Lilla Torg xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Österlen 2.1 – 1.1 Lilla Torg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Österlen to win✗
62%
1.62
1.69
Double chance
Österlen or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.42
Draw no bet
Österlen (draw no bet)
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Österlen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.23
First team to score
Österlen to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Österlen ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Österlen / FT Österlen✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Österlen – last 6
DLWLDL
18 Sep
@ Staffanstorp United
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs IFK Trelleborg
1–4
L
5 Sep
vs Karlshamn
6–0
W
30 Aug
@ Växjö Norra
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Räppe
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Oskarshamns AIK
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lilla Torg – last 6
DDWWLL
18 Sep
vs Linero
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Växjö Norra
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Berga
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Räppe
3–1
W
23 Aug
@ IFK Trelleborg
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Karlskrona
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Österlen and Lilla Torg.
What is the prediction for Österlen vs Lilla Torg?
Our pick is Österlen to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.69.
Who will win Österlen vs Lilla Torg?
On our numbers Österlen have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lilla Torg 19%.
How many goals will there be in Österlen vs Lilla Torg?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Österlen vs Lilla Torg?
Our predicted score is Österlen 2–1 Lilla Torg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Österlen vs Lilla Torg?
Österlen vs Lilla Torg (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
