Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultLilla Torg to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Lilla Torg vs Nosaby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nosaby travel to face Lilla Torg on Friday 2 October in the Division 2 Östra Götaland – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Lilla Torg are 10th, lower half, on 32 points after 26 matches; Nosaby are 4th (among the top four) with 45. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lilla Torg, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Österlen, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Nosaby, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Staffanstorp United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lilla Torg 1.6 xG, Nosaby 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lilla Torg 42%, draw 20%, Nosaby 38%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lilla Torg 1–1 Nosaby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lilla Torg42%fair 2.39 · @2.30
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Nosaby38%fair 2.62 · @2.50
3.18Expected goals
1.63Lilla Torg xG
1.55Nosaby xG
68%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Lilla Torg 1.6 – 1.5 Nosaby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lilla Torg to win✗
42%
2.39
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Draw no bet
Lilla Torg (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Nosaby +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
First team to score
Lilla Torg to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lilla Torg / FT Lilla Torg✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Lilla Torg – last 6
DDDWWL
27 Sep
@ Österlen
3–3
D
18 Sep
vs Linero
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Växjö Norra
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Berga
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Räppe
3–1
W
23 Aug
@ IFK Trelleborg
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nosaby – last 6
WDLWLW
26 Sep
vs Staffanstorp United
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Växjö Norra
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Berga
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Oskarshamns AIK
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Karlshamn
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Torns
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lilla Torg and Nosaby.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lilla Torg vs Nosaby?
On our numbers Lilla Torg have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nosaby 38%.
How many goals will there be in Lilla Torg vs Nosaby?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lilla Torg vs Nosaby?
Our predicted score is Lilla Torg 1–1 Nosaby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lilla Torg vs Nosaby?
Lilla Torg vs Nosaby (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
