Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
Picks by market
ResultLilla Torg to win ✓59% · @1.74
Double chanceLilla Torg or draw ✓80% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.43
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Lilla Torg vs Karlshamn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Lilla Torg v Karlshamn in the Division 2 Östra Götaland. In the table, Lilla Torg are 10th, lower half, on 32 points after 26 matches; Karlshamn are 14th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lilla Torg, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sölvesborg, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Karlshamn, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Staffanstorp United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lilla Torg, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Karlshamn.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lilla Torg 2.1 xG, Karlshamn 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lilla Torg 59%, draw 21%, Karlshamn 20%.
Lower-risk option: Lilla Torg or draw (80%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.43.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lilla Torg 2–1 Karlshamn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lilla Torg59%fair 1.69 · @1.74
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.75
Karlshamn20%fair 5.12 · @3.56
3.28Expected goals
2.13Lilla Torg xG
1.15Karlshamn xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Lilla Torg 2.1 – 1.2 Karlshamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lilla Torg to win✓
59%
1.69
1.74
Double chance
Lilla Torg or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.43
Draw no bet
Lilla Torg (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Karlshamn +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.63
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.24
First team to score
Lilla Torg to score first
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Lilla Torg ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lilla Torg / FT Lilla Torg✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Lilla Torg – last 6
DLDDDW
10 Oct
@ Sölvesborg
1–1
D
2 Oct
vs Nosaby
2–3
L
27 Sep
@ Österlen
3–3
D
18 Sep
vs Linero
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Växjö Norra
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Berga
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Karlshamn – last 6
LWLLLL
11 Oct
vs Staffanstorp United
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Växjö Norra
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Karlskrona
1–4
L
19 Sep
@ Berga
1–4
L
13 Sep
vs Torns
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Österlen
0–6
L
0.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lilla Torg and Karlshamn.
What is the prediction for Lilla Torg vs Karlshamn?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Lilla Torg vs Karlshamn?
On our numbers Lilla Torg have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Karlshamn 20%.
How many goals will there be in Lilla Torg vs Karlshamn?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lilla Torg vs Karlshamn?
Our predicted score is Lilla Torg 2–1 Karlshamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lilla Torg vs Karlshamn?
Lilla Torg vs Karlshamn (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
