Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Sleipner to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSleipner to win ✗57% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Sleipner vs Smedby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sleipner welcome Smedby for a Division 2 Södra Svealand fixture on Thursday 14 May (17:30 WAT). In the table, Sleipner are 2nd, among the top four, on 51 points after 26 matches; Smedby are 7th (upper half) with 36. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sleipner, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Syrianska FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Smedby, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Fittja, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sleipner 2.3 xG, Smedby 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sleipner 57%, draw 21%, Smedby 22%.
Price worth noting: Sleipner to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sleipner 2–1 Smedby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sleipner57%fair 1.76 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Smedby22%fair 4.61 · @3.10
3.53Expected goals
2.29Sleipner xG
1.24Smedby xG
56%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sleipner 2.3 – 1.2 Smedby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sleipner to win✗
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Sleipner (draw no bet)
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Sleipner -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.23
First team to score
Sleipner to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Sleipner ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sleipner / FT Sleipner✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Sleipner – last 6
WWWDLW
7 May
vs Syrianska FC
2–1
W
2 May
@ Lindo FF
3–2
W
25 Apr
@ Nacka Iliria
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Forward
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Farsta
1–4
L
28 Mar
vs Haninge
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Smedby – last 4
LWWW
3 May
@ Fittja
3–5
L
25 Apr
vs Karlslund
4–1
W
12 Apr
@ Forward
2–0
W
28 Mar
@ Eker Örebro
6–2
W
3.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sleipner and Smedby.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sleipner vs Smedby?
On our numbers Sleipner have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Smedby 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sleipner vs Smedby?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sleipner vs Smedby?
Our predicted score is Sleipner 2–1 Smedby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Sleipner vs Smedby?
Sleipner vs Smedby (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
