Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Karlslund to win @ 2.95 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNacka Iliria to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.56
Karlslund vs Nacka Iliria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Karlslund welcome Nacka Iliria for a Division 2 Södra Svealand fixture on Sunday 24 May (12:00 WAT). In the table, Karlslund are 10th, lower half, on 31 points after 26 matches; Nacka Iliria are 11th (lower half) with 30. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Karlslund, last 4: DLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lindo FF, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Nacka Iliria, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Forward, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nacka Iliria, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Karlslund.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Karlslund 1.6 xG, Nacka Iliria 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Karlslund 38%, draw 22%, Nacka Iliria 40%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Karlslund to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karlslund 1–1 Nacka Iliria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Karlslund38%fair 2.63 · @2.95
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.65
Nacka Iliria40%fair 2.52 · @2.05
3.14Expected goals
1.64Karlslund xG
1.50Nacka Iliria xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Karlslund 1.6 – 1.5 Nacka Iliria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nacka Iliria to win✗
40%
2.52
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.45
Draw no bet
Nacka Iliria (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Nacka Iliria +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
First team to score
Karlslund to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karlslund / FT Karlslund✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.56
–
Recent results
Karlslund – last 4
DLLD
9 May
vs Lindo FF
0–0
D
25 Apr
@ Smedby
1–4
L
18 Apr
vs Nyköping
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Eker Örebro
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Nacka Iliria – last 5
LLWWL
10 May
vs Forward
1–2
L
25 Apr
vs Sleipner
1–2
L
11 Apr
vs Farsta
3–2
W
3 Apr
vs Fittja
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Rågsved
0–1
L
1.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karlslund and Nacka Iliria.
What is the prediction for Karlslund vs Nacka Iliria?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Karlslund vs Nacka Iliria?
On our numbers Karlslund have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nacka Iliria 40%.
How many goals will there be in Karlslund vs Nacka Iliria?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karlslund vs Nacka Iliria?
Our predicted score is Karlslund 1–1 Nacka Iliria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Karlslund vs Nacka Iliria?
Karlslund vs Nacka Iliria (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
