Value bet: Farsta to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFarsta to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Smedby vs Farsta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Smedby welcome Farsta for a Division 2 Södra Svealand fixture on Saturday 30 May (12:00 WAT). In the table, Smedby are 7th, upper half, on 36 points after 26 matches; Farsta are 1st (leading the league) with 52. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Smedby, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Syrianska FC, at home. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Farsta, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Haninge, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Smedby 1.5 xG, Farsta 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Smedby 37%, draw 23%, Farsta 41%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.35.
Price worth noting: Farsta to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Smedby 1–1 Farsta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Smedby37%fair 2.73 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.80
Farsta41%fair 2.46 · @2.90
3.33Expected goals
1.49Smedby xG
1.83Farsta xG
68%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–17%
0–26%
From our goals model: Smedby 1.5 – 1.8 Farsta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Farsta to win✗
41%
2.46
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Draw no bet
Farsta (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Smedby +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.75
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
First team to score
Farsta to score first
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Farsta / FT Farsta✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Smedby – last 6
WDLWWW
23 May
vs Syrianska FC
4–0
W
14 May
@ Sleipner
1–1
D
3 May
@ Fittja
3–5
L
25 Apr
vs Karlslund
4–1
W
12 Apr
@ Forward
2–0
W
28 Mar
@ Eker Örebro
6–2
W
3.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Farsta – last 6
WWWLWL
22 May
vs Haninge
5–0
W
9 May
vs Örebro Syrianska
1–0
W
24 Apr
vs Syrianska FC
2–1
W
11 Apr
@ Nacka Iliria
2–3
L
3 Apr
vs Sleipner
4–1
W
29 Mar
@ Lindo FF
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smedby and Farsta.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Smedby vs Farsta?
On our numbers Smedby have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Farsta 41%.
How many goals will there be in Smedby vs Farsta?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smedby vs Farsta?
Our predicted score is Smedby 1–1 Farsta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Smedby vs Farsta?
Smedby vs Farsta (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
