Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Smedby to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSmedby to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.95
Nacka Iliria vs Smedby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nacka Iliria welcome Smedby for a Division 2 Södra Svealand fixture on Saturday 5 September (11:00 WAT). In the table, Nacka Iliria are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Smedby are 7th (upper half) with 36.
Current form
Nacka Iliria, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Farsta, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Smedby, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Forward, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nacka Iliria 1.6 xG, Smedby 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nacka Iliria 39%, draw 21%, Smedby 40%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Smedby to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacka Iliria 1–1 Smedby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nacka Iliria39%fair 2.56 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.30
Smedby40%fair 2.53 · @2.90
3.21Expected goals
1.60Nacka Iliria xG
1.61Smedby xG
67%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Nacka Iliria 1.6 – 1.6 Smedby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Smedby to win✗
40%
2.53
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Draw no bet
Smedby (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Nacka Iliria +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Smedby to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Smedby / FT Smedby✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
Nacka Iliria – last 6
LWWWDL
28 Aug
@ Farsta
1–4
L
22 Aug
@ Forward
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Örebro Syrianska
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Eker Örebro
4–0
W
1 Aug
vs Lindo FF
1–1
D
25 Jun
@ Nyköping
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Smedby – last 6
WDWDWL
29 Aug
vs Forward
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Syrianska FC
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Eker Örebro
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Karlslund
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Örebro Syrianska
2–0
W
24 Jun
@ Lindo FF
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nacka Iliria and Smedby.
What is the prediction for Nacka Iliria vs Smedby?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Nacka Iliria vs Smedby?
On our numbers Nacka Iliria have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Smedby 40%.
How many goals will there be in Nacka Iliria vs Smedby?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacka Iliria vs Smedby?
Our predicted score is Nacka Iliria 1–1 Smedby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Nacka Iliria vs Smedby?
Nacka Iliria vs Smedby (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
