Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultNacka Iliria to win ✗67% · @1.50
Double chanceNacka Iliria or draw ✗88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Nacka Iliria vs Karlslund: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Nacka Iliria v Karlslund in the Division 2 Södra Svealand. In the table, Nacka Iliria are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Karlslund are 10th (lower half) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nacka Iliria, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fittja, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Karlslund, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Forward, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Karlslund 2–1 Nacka Iliria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nacka Iliria 2.2 xG, Karlslund 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nacka Iliria 67%, draw 20%, Karlslund 12%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nacka Iliria to win (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacka Iliria 2–0 Karlslund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nacka Iliria67%fair 1.48 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @4.10
Karlslund12%fair 8.13 · @4.75
3.09Expected goals
2.23Nacka Iliria xG
0.86Karlslund xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Nacka Iliria 2.2 – 0.9 Karlslund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nacka Iliria vs Karlslund?
Our pick is Nacka Iliria to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Nacka Iliria vs Karlslund?
On our numbers Nacka Iliria have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Karlslund 12%.
How many goals will there be in Nacka Iliria vs Karlslund?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacka Iliria vs Karlslund?
Our predicted score is Nacka Iliria 2–0 Karlslund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nacka Iliria vs Karlslund?
Nacka Iliria vs Karlslund (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
