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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nyköping v Karlslund: numbers & prediction

4–1
FT
Nyköping 68%Draw 17%Karlslund 15% Expected goals 2.06 – 0.79
68%
Betarazi pick

Nyköping to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultNyköping to win ✓68% · @1.42
Double chanceNyköping or draw ✓85% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 11.83

Nyköping vs Karlslund: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Nyköping v Karlslund in the Division 2 Södra Svealand. In the table, Nyköping are 3rd, among the top four, on 46 points after 26 matches; Karlslund are 10th (lower half) with 31. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nyköping, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Smedby, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Karlslund, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Nacka Iliria, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Karlslund 0–1 Nyköping.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nyköping 2.1 xG, Karlslund 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nyköping 68%, draw 17%, Karlslund 15%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nyköping to win (68%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nyköping 2–0 Karlslund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nyköping68%fair 1.46 · @1.42
Draw17%fair 5.90 · @4.80
Karlslund15%fair 6.83 · @6.00
2.85Expected goals
2.06Nyköping xG
0.79Karlslund xG
48%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Nyköping 2.1 – 0.8 Karlslund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNyköping to win ✓68%1.461.42
Double chanceNyköping or draw ✓85%1.17–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.93–
Draw no betNyköping (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapNyköping -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
First team to scoreNyköping to score first68%1.47–
Half-time resultNyköping ahead at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nyköping / FT Nyköping ✗43%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8%11.83–

Recent results

Nyköping – last 6

DWLWWL
2 Oct@ Smedby1–1D
26 Sepvs Syrianska FC1–0W
19 Sep@ Örebro Syrianska0–1L
13 Sepvs Eker Örebro3–0W
5 Sep@ Lindo FF3–0W
29 Augvs Rågsved1–3L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Karlslund – last 6

WDWLDW
4 Oct@ Nacka Iliria4–1W
27 Sepvs Forward2–2D
19 Sep@ Farsta3–0W
12 Sepvs Örebro Syrianska0–3L
5 Sep@ Eker Örebro3–3D
30 Augvs Syrianska FC3–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Apr 2026Karlslund v Nyköping0–1
Nyköping vs Karlslund head-to-head page →

Division 2 Södra Svealand table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Farsta261646+2552
2Sleipner261565+1951
3Nyköping261448+1646
4Forward261367+1545
5Rågsved261367+1145
6Haninge261358+1244
7Smedby2610610+336
8Fittja2611312036
9Örebro Syrianska2610412+134
10Karlslund268711-631
11Nacka Iliria269314-1630
12Syrianska FC267514-1726
13Lindo FF266218-2020
14Eker Örebro265318-4318

More Division 2 Södra Svealand predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nyköping vs Karlslund?

Our pick is Nyköping to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Nyköping vs Karlslund?

On our numbers Nyköping have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Karlslund 15%.

How many goals will there be in Nyköping vs Karlslund?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nyköping vs Karlslund?

Our predicted score is Nyköping 2–0 Karlslund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Nyköping vs Karlslund?

Nyköping vs Karlslund (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.