Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Rågsved to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRågsved to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Rågsved vs Smedby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Division 2 Södra Svealand brings Rågsved against Smedby. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Rågsved are 5th, upper half, on 45 points after 26 matches; Smedby are 7th (upper half) with 36.
Current form
Rågsved, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Eker Örebro, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Smedby, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nyköping, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rågsved, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Smedby.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rågsved 2.1 xG, Smedby 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rågsved 60%, draw 17%, Smedby 23%.
Price worth noting: Rågsved to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rågsved 2–1 Smedby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rågsved60%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @3.70
Smedby23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
3.24Expected goals
2.07Rågsved xG
1.17Smedby xG
52%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Rågsved 2.1 – 1.2 Smedby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rågsved to win✓
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Rågsved (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Smedby +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
First team to score
Rågsved to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Rågsved ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rågsved / FT Rågsved✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Rågsved – last 6
WDLWWW
3 Oct
@ Eker Örebro
3–1
W
26 Sep
vs Örebro Syrianska
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Nacka Iliria
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Lindo FF
2–1
W
4 Sep
vs Haninge
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Nyköping
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Smedby – last 6
DLLLDW
2 Oct
vs Nyköping
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Haninge
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Fittja
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Farsta
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Nacka Iliria
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Forward
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rågsved and Smedby.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Rågsved vs Smedby?
On our numbers Rågsved have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Smedby 23%.
How many goals will there be in Rågsved vs Smedby?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rågsved vs Smedby?
Our predicted score is Rågsved 2–1 Smedby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Rågsved vs Smedby?
Rågsved vs Smedby (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
