Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Sleipner to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSleipner to win ✓58% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Smedby vs Sleipner: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sleipner travel to face Smedby on Sunday 18 October in the Division 2 Södra Svealand – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Smedby are 7th, upper half, on 36 points after 26 matches; Sleipner are 2nd (among the top four) with 51. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Smedby, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Rågsved, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Sleipner, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fittja, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sleipner, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Smedby.
Head to head
When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Sleipner 1–1 Smedby.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Smedby 1.3 xG, Sleipner 2.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Smedby 27%, draw 15%, Sleipner 58%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Sleipner to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Smedby 1–2 Sleipner. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Smedby27%fair 3.76 · @3.12
Draw15%fair 6.46 · @3.62
Sleipner58%fair 1.73 · @1.90
3.26Expected goals
1.25Smedby xG
2.01Sleipner xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–36%
2–26%
From our goals model: Smedby 1.3 – 2.0 Sleipner expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Smedby vs Sleipner?
On our numbers Smedby have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Sleipner 58%.
How many goals will there be in Smedby vs Sleipner?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smedby vs Sleipner?
Our predicted score is Smedby 1–2 Sleipner, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Smedby vs Sleipner?
Smedby vs Sleipner (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
