Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Jonsered to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultÅstorp to win ✗40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.53
Jonsered vs Åstorp: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the Division 2 Västra Götaland brings Jonsered against Åstorp. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Jonsered are 3rd, among the top four, on 42 points after 26 matches; Åstorp are 12th (in the drop zone) with 29. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jonsered 1.6 xG, Åstorp 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jonsered 37%, draw 24%, Åstorp 40%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Jonsered to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jonsered 1–1 Åstorp. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jonsered37%fair 2.73 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.60
Åstorp40%fair 2.52 · @2.00
3.10Expected goals
1.62Jonsered xG
1.48Åstorp xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Jonsered 1.6 – 1.5 Åstorp expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Åstorp to win✗
40%
2.52
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Draw no bet
Åstorp (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Åstorp +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
First team to score
Jonsered to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jonsered / FT Jonsered✓
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.53
–
Recent results
Jonsered – last 1
D
28 Mar
@ Västra Frölunda
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Åstorp – last 1
W
28 Mar
vs Astrio
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jonsered and Åstorp.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Jonsered vs Åstorp?
On our numbers Jonsered have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Åstorp 40%.
How many goals will there be in Jonsered vs Åstorp?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jonsered vs Åstorp?
Our predicted score is Jonsered 1–1 Åstorp, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Jonsered vs Åstorp?
Jonsered vs Åstorp (Division 2 Västra Götaland) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
