Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Galtabacks to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGaltabacks to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Astrio vs Galtabacks: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Astrio v Galtabacks in the Division 2 Västra Götaland. In the table, Astrio are 14th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 26 matches; Galtabacks are 13th (in the drop zone) with 23. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Astrio, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Västra Frölunda, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Galtabacks, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Torslanda, at home. 2.6 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Galtabacks, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.3 for Astrio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Astrio 1.5 xG, Galtabacks 1.9 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Astrio 33%, draw 22%, Galtabacks 44%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Galtabacks to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Astrio 1–2 Galtabacks. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Astrio33%fair 3.01 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.50
Galtabacks44%fair 2.25 · @2.50
3.47Expected goals
1.53Astrio xG
1.94Galtabacks xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Astrio 1.5 – 1.9 Galtabacks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Galtabacks to win✗
44%
2.25
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.36
Draw no bet
Galtabacks (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Astrio +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
First team to score
Galtabacks to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Galtabacks ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Galtabacks / FT Galtabacks✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Astrio – last 6
LLLDDL
9 May
@ Västra Frölunda
3–5
L
3 May
vs Qviding FIF
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ Torslanda
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Hestrafor
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Kongahälla
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Åstorp
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Galtabacks – last 5
LDLWW
8 May
vs Torslanda
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Åstorp
2–2
D
12 Apr
@ Västra Frölunda
2–3
L
3 Apr
@ Hestrafor
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Onsala
6–1
W
2.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Astrio and Galtabacks.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Astrio vs Galtabacks?
On our numbers Astrio have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Galtabacks 44%.
How many goals will there be in Astrio vs Galtabacks?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Astrio vs Galtabacks?
Our predicted score is Astrio 1–2 Galtabacks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Astrio vs Galtabacks?
Astrio vs Galtabacks (Division 2 Västra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
