Value bet: Kongahälla to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultÅstorp to win45% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.00
Kongahälla vs Åstorp: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Åstorp travel to face Kongahälla on Saturday 30 May in the Division 2 Västra Götaland – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Kongahälla are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Åstorp are 12th (in the drop zone) with 29. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kongahälla, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Västra Frölunda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Åstorp, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Västra Frölunda, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Kongahälla, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Åstorp.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kongahälla 1.6 xG, Åstorp 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kongahälla 33%, draw 22%, Åstorp 45%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Kongahälla to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kongahälla 1–1 Åstorp. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kongahälla33%fair 3.01 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.90
Åstorp45%fair 2.24 · @1.83
3.09Expected goals
1.56Kongahälla xG
1.54Åstorp xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Kongahälla 1.6 – 1.5 Åstorp expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Åstorp to win
45%
2.24
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
63%
1.60
1.44
Draw no bet
Åstorp (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Åstorp +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.25
First team to score
Kongahälla to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kongahälla / FT Kongahälla
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.00
–
Recent results
Kongahälla – last 6
LWDLDD
14 May
@ Västra Frölunda
0–4
L
8 May
vs Jonsered
1–0
W
1 May
vs Landvetter IS
1–1
D
25 Apr
@ Qviding FIF
1–3
L
10 Apr
vs Torslanda
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Astrio
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Åstorp – last 6
LDDDLL
24 May
vs Västra Frölunda
0–3
L
10 May
vs Onsala
1–1
D
30 Apr
@ Galtabacks
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Böljan
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Torslanda
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Hestrafor
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kongahälla and Åstorp.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Kongahälla vs Åstorp?
On our numbers Kongahälla have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Åstorp 45%.
How many goals will there be in Kongahälla vs Åstorp?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kongahälla vs Åstorp?
Our predicted score is Kongahälla 1–1 Åstorp, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Kongahälla vs Åstorp?
Kongahälla vs Åstorp (Division 2 Västra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
