Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.34 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.34Odds
2
Value bet: Jonsered to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultÅstorp to win ✓43% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.34
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Åstorp vs Jonsered: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Åstorp v Jonsered in the Division 2 Västra Götaland. In the table, Åstorp are 12th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 26 matches; Jonsered are 3rd (among the top four) with 42. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Åstorp, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Qviding FIF, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Jonsered, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Torslanda, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Jonsered 4–2 Åstorp.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Åstorp 1.7 xG, Jonsered 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Åstorp 43%, draw 20%, Jonsered 38%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.34.
Price worth noting: Jonsered to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Åstorp 1–1 Jonsered. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Åstorp43%fair 2.34 · @1.98
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.72
Jonsered38%fair 2.66 · @2.88
3.32Expected goals
1.72Åstorp xG
1.60Jonsered xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Åstorp 1.7 – 1.6 Jonsered expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Åstorp vs Jonsered?
On our numbers Åstorp have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jonsered 38%.
How many goals will there be in Åstorp vs Jonsered?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Åstorp vs Jonsered?
Our predicted score is Åstorp 1–1 Jonsered, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Åstorp vs Jonsered?
Åstorp vs Jonsered (Division 2 Västra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
