San Marcos de Arica 50%Draw 27%Deportes Santa Cruz 23%Expected goals 1.35 – 0.89
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
Picks by market
ResultSan Marcos de Arica to win ✗50% · @1.75
Double chanceSan Marcos de Arica or draw ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Saturday 21 February: San Marcos de Arica v Deportes Santa Cruz in the Primera B, played at Estadio Carlos Dittborn. In the table, San Marcos de Arica are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 29 matches; Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Marcos de Arica 1.4 xG, Deportes Santa Cruz 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Marcos de Arica 50%, draw 27%, Deportes Santa Cruz 23%.
Lower-risk option: San Marcos de Arica or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Deportes Santa Cruz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Marcos de Arica50%fair 2.01 · @1.75
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.20
Deportes Santa Cruz23%fair 4.28 · @4.20
2.24Expected goals
1.35San Marcos de Arica xG
0.89Deportes Santa Cruz xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: San Marcos de Arica 1.4 – 0.9 Deportes Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Marcos de Arica to win✗
50%
2.01
1.75
Double chance
San Marcos de Arica or draw✓
77%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.00
Draw no bet
San Marcos de Arica (draw no bet)
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Deportes Santa Cruz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
San Marcos de Arica to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Marcos de Arica / FT San Marcos de Arica✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
San Marcos de Arica
No recent results on record.
Deportes Santa Cruz
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Marcos de Arica and Deportes Santa Cruz.
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
On our numbers San Marcos de Arica have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportes Santa Cruz 23%.
How many goals will there be in San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our predicted score is San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Deportes Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
