D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportes Santa Cruz travel to face D. Puerto Montt on Monday 16 March in the Primera B, with Estadio Regional de Chinquihue the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, D. Puerto Montt are 11th, lower half, on 38 points after 29 matches; Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportes Santa Cruz, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Santiago Wanderers, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give D. Puerto Montt 1.4 xG, Deportes Santa Cruz 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – D. Puerto Montt 49%, draw 29%, Deportes Santa Cruz 21%.
Lower-risk option: D. Puerto Montt or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: D. Puerto Montt 1–1 Deportes Santa Cruz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
D. Puerto Montt49%fair 2.03 · @1.80
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @3.10
Deportes Santa Cruz21%fair 4.66 · @4.33
2.30Expected goals
1.37D. Puerto Montt xG
0.93Deportes Santa Cruz xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–09%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: D. Puerto Montt 1.4 – 0.9 Deportes Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
D. Puerto Montt to win✓
49%
2.03
1.80
Double chance
D. Puerto Montt or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
D. Puerto Montt (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Deportes Santa Cruz +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
D. Puerto Montt to score first✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT D. Puerto Montt / FT D. Puerto Montt✓
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
D. Puerto Montt – last 2
WW
1 Mar
@ Antofagasta
2–1
W
23 Feb
vs Deportes Copiapo
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportes Santa Cruz – last 3
LDD
9 Mar
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Cobreloa
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ San Marcos de Arica
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between D. Puerto Montt and Deportes Santa Cruz.
What is the prediction for D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
On our numbers D. Puerto Montt have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Deportes Santa Cruz 21%.
How many goals will there be in D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our predicted score is D. Puerto Montt 1–1 Deportes Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Regional de Chinquihue.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
