Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRecoleta to win ✓52% · @2.05
Double chanceRecoleta or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Recoleta vs Union San Felipe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Friday 13 March: Recoleta v Union San Felipe in the Primera B. In the table, Recoleta are 7th, upper half, on 42 points after 29 matches; Union San Felipe are 15th (in the drop zone) with 23. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Recoleta 1.7 xG, Union San Felipe 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Recoleta 52%, draw 25%, Union San Felipe 23%.
Lower-risk option: Recoleta or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Recoleta or draw (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Recoleta 1–0 Union San Felipe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Recoleta52%fair 1.94 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.20
Union San Felipe23%fair 4.27 · @3.35
2.64Expected goals
1.70Recoleta xG
0.93Union San Felipe xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Recoleta 1.7 – 0.9 Union San Felipe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Recoleta to win✓
52%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Recoleta or draw✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Recoleta (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Union San Felipe +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Recoleta to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Recoleta / FT Recoleta✓
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Recoleta – last 2
WW
27 Feb
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Union San Felipe – last 2
WL
6 Mar
vs Antofagasta
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Deportes Iquique
0–5
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Recoleta and Union San Felipe.
What is the prediction for Recoleta vs Union San Felipe?
Our pick is Recoleta or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Recoleta vs Union San Felipe?
On our numbers Recoleta have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Union San Felipe 23%.
How many goals will there be in Recoleta vs Union San Felipe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recoleta vs Union San Felipe?
Our predicted score is Recoleta 1–0 Union San Felipe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Recoleta vs Union San Felipe?
Recoleta vs Union San Felipe (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
