Value bet: Santiago Wanderers to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSan Marcos de Arica to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.13
San Marcos de Arica vs Santiago Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Marcos de Arica welcome Santiago Wanderers to Estadio Carlos Dittborn for a Primera B fixture on Tuesday 17 March (00:30 WAT). In the table, San Marcos de Arica are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 29 matches; Santiago Wanderers are 3rd (among the top four) with 50.
Current form
San Marcos de Arica, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportes Iquique, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Marcos de Arica 1.3 xG, Santiago Wanderers 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Marcos de Arica 41%, draw 26%, Santiago Wanderers 34%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Santiago Wanderers to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Marcos de Arica 1–1 Santiago Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Marcos de Arica41%fair 2.47 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.30
Santiago Wanderers34%fair 2.97 · @3.20
2.42Expected goals
1.27San Marcos de Arica xG
1.15Santiago Wanderers xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: San Marcos de Arica 1.3 – 1.2 Santiago Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Marcos de Arica to win✗
41%
2.47
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.75
Draw no bet
San Marcos de Arica (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Santiago Wanderers +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
San Marcos de Arica to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Marcos de Arica / FT San Marcos de Arica✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.13
–
Recent results
San Marcos de Arica – last 3
DDD
8 Mar
@ Deportes Iquique
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Magallanes
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Santiago Wanderers – last 2
WL
9 Mar
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Recoleta
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Marcos de Arica and Santiago Wanderers.
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs Santiago Wanderers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs Santiago Wanderers?
On our numbers San Marcos de Arica have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Santiago Wanderers 34%.
How many goals will there be in San Marcos de Arica vs Santiago Wanderers?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs Santiago Wanderers?
Our predicted score is San Marcos de Arica 1–1 Santiago Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is San Marcos de Arica vs Santiago Wanderers?
San Marcos de Arica vs Santiago Wanderers (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
