Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultDeportes Copiapo to win52% · @1.91
Double chanceDeportes Copiapo or draw78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.40
Deportes Copiapo vs Recoleta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 12 April the Primera B brings Deportes Copiapo against Recoleta at Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Deportes Copiapo are 8th, upper half, on 41 points after 29 matches; Recoleta are 7th (upper half) with 42. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Deportes Copiapo, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Curico Unido, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Recoleta, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Deportes Temuco, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Recoleta, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Deportes Copiapo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Copiapo 1.7 xG, Recoleta 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Copiapo 52%, draw 25%, Recoleta 22%.
Lower-risk option: Deportes Copiapo or draw (78%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Copiapo 1–1 Recoleta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportes Copiapo52%fair 1.92 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.10
Recoleta22%fair 4.48 · @3.80
2.74Expected goals
1.66Deportes Copiapo xG
1.08Recoleta xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Deportes Copiapo 1.7 – 1.1 Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Copiapo to win
52%
1.92
1.91
Double chance
Deportes Copiapo or draw
78%
1.29
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportes Copiapo (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Recoleta +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Deportes Copiapo to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Copiapo / FT Deportes Copiapo
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Deportes Copiapo – last 5
DDDWL
29 Mar
@ Curico Unido
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ San Luis
2–2
D
10 Mar
vs Deportes Temuco
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Rangers de Talca
2–0
W
23 Feb
@ D. Puerto Montt
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Recoleta – last 4
LWWW
27 Mar
vs Deportes Temuco
1–5
L
13 Mar
vs Union San Felipe
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Copiapo and Recoleta.
What is the prediction for Deportes Copiapo vs Recoleta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Deportes Copiapo vs Recoleta?
On our numbers Deportes Copiapo have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Recoleta 22%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Copiapo vs Recoleta?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Copiapo vs Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Deportes Copiapo 1–1 Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Deportes Copiapo vs Recoleta?
Deportes Copiapo vs Recoleta (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
