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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rangers de Talca v San Marcos de Arica: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Chile · Estadio Fiscal de Talca
Rangers de Talca 38%Draw 28%San Marcos de Arica 35% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.10
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: San Marcos de Arica to win @ 3.35 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRangers de Talca to win ✗38% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.09

Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rangers de Talca welcome San Marcos de Arica to Estadio Fiscal de Talca for a Primera B fixture on Monday 13 April (01:00 WAT). In the table, Rangers de Talca are 16th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 29 matches; San Marcos de Arica are 6th (upper half) with 43. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Rangers de Talca, last 4: LDLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Magallanes, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

San Marcos de Arica, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Union San Felipe, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours San Marcos de Arica, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Rangers de Talca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rangers de Talca 1.1 xG, San Marcos de Arica 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rangers de Talca 38%, draw 28%, San Marcos de Arica 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.90.
  • Price worth noting: San Marcos de Arica to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rangers de Talca 1–1 San Marcos de Arica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rangers de Talca38%fair 2.66 · @2.10
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.10
San Marcos de Arica35%fair 2.88 · @3.35
2.24Expected goals
1.14Rangers de Talca xG
1.10San Marcos de Arica xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Rangers de Talca 1.1 – 1.1 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRangers de Talca to win ✗38%2.662.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.90 ▲
Draw no betRangers de Talca (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapSan Marcos de Arica +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.521.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.681.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.261.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.08–
First team to scoreRangers de Talca to score first ✗46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rangers de Talca / FT Rangers de Talca ✗21%4.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.09–

Recent results

Rangers de Talca – last 4

LDLL
30 Mar@ Magallanes2–3L
9 Marvs San Luis1–1D
1 Mar@ Deportes Copiapo0–2L
22 Febvs Antofagasta0–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

San Marcos de Arica – last 5

DDDDD
23 Mar@ Union San Felipe1–1D
17 Marvs Santiago Wanderers0–0D
8 Mar@ Deportes Iquique0–0D
2 Mar@ Magallanes1–1D
21 Febvs Deportes Santa Cruz1–1D
0.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rangers de Talca and San Marcos de Arica.

Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa291595+2254
2San Luis291595+1454
3Santiago Wanderers291487+1650
4Antofagasta291397+2548
5Magallanes291379+146
6San Marcos de Arica2911108+743
7Recoleta291199-242
8Deportes Copiapo2911810+141
9Union Espanola2911612-339
10Deportes Iquique299119+938
11D. Puerto Montt2911513-738
12Deportes Temuco309912+136
13Curico Unido3081012-1734
14Deportes Santa Cruz2941213-1424
15Union San Felipe295816-3423
16Rangers de Talca295618-1921

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica?

On our numbers Rangers de Talca have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and San Marcos de Arica 35%.

How many goals will there be in Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica?

Our predicted score is Rangers de Talca 1–1 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica?

Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fiscal de Talca.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.